Poll Analysis: Rasmussen Daily Tracking Poll

Poll Analysis: Rasmussen Daily Tracking Poll:
Rasmussen has released today’s Daily Tracking Poll data. Here is the raw data:
(vs. Obama) Obama Candidate Candidate Lead
Romney 43 45 2
Santorum 47 42 -5
Gingrich n/a n/a n/a
Paul n/a n/a n/a
And here is the graphic representation of the trend lines:

Today’s data represents the average of polls taken from March 22 through March 24. Since “Etch-a-sketch” occurred on the 19th, the effects are fully baked in now. And what are the results? When it happened, Mitt was trailing the Obama by 1 ppts. Now Mitt is leading the president by 1 ppt. Mitt was leading Santorum by 4 ppts. He is now leading him by seven.
The inescapable conclusion has to be that “Etch-a-sketch” means very little in the grand scheme of things. Mitt’s opponents are going to have to find some other means to derail the Romney express.
By the same token, Santorum’s “Vote for Obama” occurred on the 20th. It is fully baked in, as well. And it’s results? He was trailing Obama by 9 ppts. Now he is down 5 ppts against the president. He was trailing Mitt by six ppts. Now he’s trailing by seven.
So again the inescapable conclusion has to be that “Vote for Obama” has had little effect on the electorate at large.
Beyond these specific conclusions, general ones can be made. Mitt Romney returns above water against Obama today. This makes 15 days out of the last month that Mitt has either tied or bested the president. His average margin over Obama during that time period is -1.07 ppts. By contrast, over the same time period Rick Santorum has only managed two short days where he bested the president and never tied him. His average for the same period is -4.66 ppts.

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